With 6 states still in play, here’s a look at how CNN makes projections

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden speaks on November 4, in Wilmington, Delaware. Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Democrats woke up Thursday morning cautiously optimistic with how presidential results are trending, with party operatives – like everyone else – keeping close tabs on four states: Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

Joe Biden holds a lead in both Arizona and Nevada, two states where more votes are expected to come in on Thursday. But the belief is that Biden’s narrow margins in each state could shrink as incoming votes continue to trickle in. The question that remains: Will President Donald Trump’s margins in these new votes be enough to cut into the leads Biden already enjoys?

Most Democratic optimism comes from Pennsylvania, a state that has dominated Biden’s focus throughout the general election. Although the former vice president trails Trump in the state with roughly 10% of votes yet to be reported, it is where those votes are coming from – Democratic strongholds like Philadelphia and Pennsylvania and thee suburban counties in Southeast Pennsylvania – that has the party confident.

A source told CNN on Thursday morning that there are approximately 140,000 outstanding mostly mail in ballots in Philadelphia alone. Although Trump enjoys a lead of over 160,000, the bulk of votes from Philadelphia are expected to go for Biden. Additionally, there are still thousands of votes outstanding from the areas around the city – like in nearby Bucks County, with 28,000 mail-in ballots left to count. Biden has consistently maintained a significant lead in mail in votes.

“I mean, it depends. I know there is enough out there in the state as long as those trends continue, I believe personally, a margin that will carry Pennsylvania for the Vice President,” Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, a Democrat, told CNN’s Chris Cuomo on Thursday.

Then there is Georgia, a state that has continually narrowed as votes from the more Democratic greater Atlanta metropolitan area have come in. Trump is up by less than 20,000 votes in the state, with around 50,000 votes left to be counted, according to Walter Jones, spokesman for the Secretary of State’s office. The key for Democrats will be how many of those votes come from reliably Democratic areas like Fulton and DeKalb counties around Atlanta and Chatham around Savannah.

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Written by Politixia

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