Tribune News Service
Op-Ed Budget for Friday, November 6, 2020
Updated at 4:30 a.m. ET (0930 UTC)
This budget is now available on the Web at www.TribuneNewsService.com, with direct links to stories and art. See details at the end of the budget.
^Commentary: So, what happened with the polling?<
^ELN-POLLS-COMMENTARY:NY—<While the next president of the United States remains unknown as of Thursday evening, there is clearly one big loser: the pollsters, most of whom were touting the high likelihood of a Joe Biden blowout. So how did they get it so wrong? In 2016, I predicted that against all odds Donald Trump would win the presidential election. A month ago, I predicted that his reelection race would be won by a razor-thin margin on either side. Whether you are happy or not about the results, there was a very real chance of Trump winning a second term.
So, back to the main question: How were all the pollsters so wrong, again, even after the soul searching and methodological recalibrating that followed 2016?
550 by Liberty Vittert. MOVED
^Commentary: Election reveals there is space for a third political party<
^ELN-THIRDPARTY-COMMENTARY:TB—<If the 2020 presidential election tells us anything, it’s that there appears to be space for a major new political party.
Exceptions abound, but generally speaking, minorities and urban liberal white voters are comfortable with the Democratic Party. Rural voters are simpatico with Donald Trump’s brand of Republicanism. That leaves many people across the great swath of suburbia who appear comfortable with neither.
800 by Jim Nowlan. MOVED
^Commentary: Election shows country’s racial divide<
^ELN-RACIAL-DIVIDE-COMMENTARY:BZ—<Even with polls and political operatives predicting an easy presidential win for Joe Biden, I never believed it. For one, 2016 was still on my mind. The year that President Donald Trump stunned us all, including many who voted for him, with his victory. I also couldn’t ignore the packed rallies of voters who cheered Trump on like a rock star. And most of all I have watched the president help release deep racial animosities in this country to motivate his base.
We can blame Trump for riling these feelings up in others, but we can’t deny how easy it was to do it. All of this made me believe we’d be right at the point that we are — a tight, acrimonious election challenged by lawsuits.
The election has only further exposed how deeply divided along racial lines the U.S., the so-called land of opportunity, truly is.
800 by Andrea K. McDaniels. MOVED
^Commentary: Election 2020 got you down? You could make good on that threat to move to Canada<
^ELN-MOVE-CANADA-COMMENTARY:LA—<I write on behalf of Canada. I am not officially its ambassador or spokesperson, although many, many people think I should be. While I currently live in Melbourne (Australia, not Florida), I remain a practicing member of, and covenanted to, the People of Praise of the Maple Leaf. I pay north of $750 annually in Canadian taxes. I’m legit.
I’m also no expert on American politics, but I get the impression that there is way more pluribus than unum these days. One presidential election outcome was clear well before polls closed on Tuesday: At least 40% of Americans are probably mad as hell today, convinced the country is disfigured beyond all recognition, morally bankrupt and doomed. Many will seriously think about moving to Canada, because a solid majority of you know where it is (hint: go north) and you can get by in English (except in rural Quebec). Here are some tips to help you through the immigration process.
950 by Steven Lewis. MOVED
^Commentary: The voting is over. Now it’s time for a new public service paradigm for the winners<
^ELECTED-LEADERS-COMMENTARY:MCT—<It is a long-held belief by many Americans that their state, county and city all operate on the basic principles of representative democracy — that elected officials represent the entire group of people in the place that elected them. Furthermore, most Americans feel it is the duty of their elected leaders to make decisions in their best interest. Right?
This is the ideal world we paint. The ideal world we expect. The ideal world we hope for.
But example after example reflects how this perspective is a dream — possibly, an integral part of the American dream — and that reality does not live up to the ideal in most cases.
950 by Tyrone Grandison. MOVED
^Commentary: Trump’s law enforcement commission broke the law<
^TRUMP-POLICING-PANEL-COMMENTARY:LA—<Why don’t people respect the law?
That was among the questions President Donald Trump’s policing commission, launched in January, was tasked with answering. This administration being what it is, and these times being what they are, it seems perfectly fitting that the commission itself broke the law — broke it so completely, in fact, that the day before the election a federal judge blocked it from ever releasing its report unless it included glaring language near the top advising readers that the contents were a product of a panel that was unlawfully constituted and operated.
Or, in the alternative, it can start over, this time with more representative membership and more open proceedings.
600 by Robert Greene. MOVED
^Cass R. Sunstein: How vote-counting became a job for the states<
^SUNSTEIN-COLUMN:BLO—<The current confusion and anxiety surrounding presidential vote-counting, with different states using different rules and procedures, make it natural to wonder: Wouldn’t it have been better to let the federal government oversee the process?
The framers of the U.S. Constitution didn’t think so, for reasons of principle. Some of the foundations of their thinking can be found in the Federalist Papers, written mostly by Alexander Hamilton and James Madison (with a few by John Jay), among the greatest works in all of political science and the most important contemporaneous explanation of the framers’ thinking.
800 by Cass R. Sunstein. MOVED
^Mary Schmich: Memo from John McCain in heaven<
^SCHMICH-COLUMN:TB—<TO: The American People
FROM: John McCain
DATE: Nov. 5, 2020
SUBJECT: My hope for your wondrous land
My fellow Americans. WTF?
What is going on down there?
Yes, we have cable up here in heaven and, sheesh, that election. It looks like hell.
850 by Mary Schmich. MOVED
^Stephen L. Carter: Democrats counted too heavily on ‘Trump fatigue'<
^CARTER-COLUMN:BLO—<In trying to figure out how former Vice President Joe Biden’s expected landslide turned into a grim, nail-biting election, we should take a lesson from social science and consider how the problem of moral hazard may have hurt the Democratic Party’s efforts.
The term moral hazard refers to the way that people tend to become less risk averse when they know they are protected from the consequences of their folly. The analogous problem in politics arises when a party’s certainty of victory leads to a recklessness during the campaign itself — in particular, a floating of ideas that in a tighter race might be kept under wraps.
1200 by Stephen L. Carter. MOVED
^Will Bunch: Even if Biden wins, Democrats, media — and all of us — have a lot to answer for, and to fix<
^BUNCH-COLUMN:PH—<There wasn’t blood in the streets of America. There were some disquieting moments — punctuated in the middle of the night when an angry mob of President Donald Trump’s supporters, some of them armed, swarmed the outside of a vote-counting center near Phoenix — but the images we may remember from the nation’s most angst-ridden week in at least a generation were oddly soothing. Tiny pictures on the bottom of your TV screen showed mask-wearing, exhausted but diligent election staff from both major parties in places like Philadelphia and Atlanta working together to do democracy’s most basic task: Counting the votes.
The center held in America this week but just barely. It’s important to cling, though, to the good, to the nourishment contained in the half of the national glass that is still full.
1500 by Will Bunch. MOVED
^Virginia Postrel: Californians push back at progressive dogma<
^POSTREL-COLUMN:BLO—<California voters are more complicated than their left-wing stereotype. And not nearly as radical as the progressives they elect to public office.
True, Joe Biden thumped President Donald Trump two to one, garnering the single largest cache of Electoral College votes. Democrats control everything in the state capital of Sacramento and overwhelmingly dominate the congressional caucus. Thanks to the state’s nonpartisan, top-two primary system — colloquially known as the “jungle primary” — some California voters even face general election choices between two Democrats. Ronald Reagan’s former home is now a safely Democratic, one-party state.
But Democratic dominance doesn’t mean that Californians endorse the hopes and dreams of the cultural and economic left. Results of Tuesday’s many state ballot initiatives provide a more centrist picture.
1200 by Virginia Postrel. MOVED
^Dan Rodricks: Walking away from the climate crisis: Not OK, boomer<
^RODRICKS-COLUMN:BZ—<Among the many things I have tried but failed to understand about fellow baby boomers who voted for Donald Trump: why they support a president who walked away from leadership on climate change.
The big clock keeps ticking, and there’s evidence all around us that the future of human life on the planet is in jeopardy, yet tens of millions of our fellow Americans want a president who would rather go golfing than devote any time to climate change.
850 by Dan Rodricks. MOVED
^Jonah Goldberg: Trump was right — the election was about him<
^GOLDBERG-COLUMN:MCT—<At rally in Wisconsin the day before the election, President Donald Trump was talking about the choice between him and Joe Biden. He started to say, “This isn’t about ” and then stopped himself and said, “Yeah, it is about me.”
He was right. The election was about him.
800 by Jonah Goldberg. MOVED
^Leonard Pitts Jr.<
800 by Leonard Pitts Jr. Moving later
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^Editorial: Hey, America, cool off and let elections officials count the votes<
^ELN-ELECTION-EDITORIAL:LA—<Two fundamental elements of American society are on display this week: voting and protesting. Unfortunately, both those expressions of democracy have veered off track in disturbing ways.
750 by The Times Editorial Board. MOVED
^Editorial: Don’t let Trump spoil remarkable election<
^ELN-TRUMP-EDITORIAL:SE—<As Americans await the final tally to determine their president, they can at least celebrate a strong turnout and lack of major disruption in Tuesday’s vote.
The delay in results was expected, and challenges are likely in some areas. But the overall election progress should be reassuring, given the pandemic complications and threat of foreign interference.
For now the biggest threats to the election’s accuracy — and the ongoing legitimacy of our democratic system — are coming straight from the White House.
400 by The Seattle Times editorial board. MOVED
^Editorial: Why America should do away with the Electoral College<
^ELN-ELECTORAL-COLLEGE-EDITORIAL:SJ—<President Donald Trump had it right in 2012 when he said that the Electoral College was “a disaster for democracy.”
Only in the United States do voters choose a body of electors whose only purpose is to select the national leader. Other nations that pick their top leader indirectly generally give the task to a parliament. Alternatively, in a majority of the world’s democracies, the head of state is directly selected by the voters.
500 by Mercury News & East Bay Times Editorial Boards. MOVED
^Editorial: Requiem for a vanished swing state, Florida<
^ELN-FLA-EDITORIAL:FL—<Let’s stop kidding ourselves. Florida is no longer a purple state evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats. In the 2020 presidential election, Florida crossed the battle line to firmly join other Southern states cloaked in Republican red.
900 by Sun Sentinel Editorial Board. MOVED
^Editorial: Biden wins Miami-Dade, but doesn’t help Florida Democrats win much of anything else<
^ELN-FLA-BIDEN-EDITORIAL:MI—<Azure ocean waters may have been washing up on Florida’s shores on Election Day, but there definitely was no “blue wave.”
Joe Biden won Miami-Dade with 54% of the votes, but the state of Florida, and its 29 Electoral College votes, went to President Donald Trump. In fact, Republicans did some serious damage to Democrats’ hopes — and assumptions.
550 by The Miami Herald Editorial Board. MOVED
^Editorial: So much for California’s racial reckoning. Voters reject affirmative action — again<
^ELN-CALIF-AFFIRMATIVEACTION-EDITORIAL:LA—<Despite a summer of racial reckoning, when Californians marched in the streets to demand justice and equality, voters decided Tuesday not to help dismantle the racism baked into our state institutions. It wasn’t a close call, either; Proposition 16, a measure that would have removed a 24-year-old prohibition on affirmative action by state and local agencies, was rejected by more than 1 million votes.
What a shame, and what a missed opportunity. It’s a reminder too that while California is often viewed as a progressive bastion, the state and its electorate are still fairly conservative when it comes to confronting racial inequity.
650 by The Times Editorial Board. MOVED
^Editorial: Prop. 22 just showed tech companies how to write their own labor laws<
^ELN-CALIF-PROP22-EDITORIAL:LA—<California lawmakers had the chance last year to strike a deal with app-based companies to boost the benefits and protections that workers on their platforms would receive. They didn’t, and in hindsight, that looks to be a terrible mistake.
On Tuesday, California voters overwhelmingly backed Proposition 22, a measure to treat app-based drivers for Uber, Postmates and the like as independent contractors eligible for more limited benefits and protections than the Legislature provided last year in Assembly Bill 5. The proposition was sponsored by the app companies, which spent more than $200 million to persuade voters to approve it. That was about 10 times as much as opponents — largely organized labor — spent to try to defeat the measure.
In doing so, the proposition’s sponsors laid out a road map for how companies can write their own employment laws and regulations through the ballot box. Californians should take that as a warning.
750 by The Times Editorial Board. MOVED
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