Ben Christopher, CalMatters
Buried in the mountain of yet-to-be-deciphered popular will of Californians lie the fates of too-close-to-call statewide propositions and dozens of congressional and legislative races.
Patience for the final electoral tally may not come naturally to election watchers in Georgia and Pennsylvania — nor, for that matter, the president of the United States. But Californians should now be accustomed to the post-Election Day wait.
Taken at face value, the roughly 4 million remaining ballots would represent about 25% of the total turnout in the state. That’s a slightly smaller than the 30% that remained after the 2016 general election or the 38% in 2018.
But the estimate should not be taken at face value. There’s no uniform way to estimate the number of ballots remaining in California and many of the methods used are a little rough. County officials have been known to weigh the pallets of paper or measure the height of the ballot stacks to ballpark a figure.
For now, 3.9 million is the best estimate we have (although an unknown number of additional ballots will continue to arrive and be counted as late as Nov. 20, so long as they were postmarked by Election Day). Here’s what it means for the ballot measures:
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