Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election

Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election | FiveThirtyEight

Our 2020 presidential forecast is final and no longer updating. You can keep making selections here to see how the results you pick would change our pre-election forecast.

Winner picked

more likely trump

more likely biden

When you choose the winner in one place, our model updates its projections everywhere else.

10 in 100

chance of winning


average electoral votes

89 in 100

chance of winning


average electoral votes

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