US progressives show strength in primaries and predict more wins ahead | Democrats

In the battle for control of the Democratic party, progressives are increasingly confident they’re winning. That’s how they explain why they keep competing against record sums of Super Pac money flooding into nominating contests for safely Democratic seats.

“There’s a set of people who are uncomfortable with a new brand of politics,” said Maurice Mitchell, national director of the progressive Working Families Party. “They’re trying to set the clock back. But the genie’s outta the bottle.”

So far this election cycle, progressives have a mixed record. But a stronger-than-expected showing in last week’s primaries has energized the movement and set the stage, they hope, for even more success this summer.

In Pennsylvania, state representative Summer Lee overcame a deluge of outside spending to win her congressional primary. Lee was declared the winner after three days of counting. She tweeted: “$4.5 mill” with a fire and trash can emoji.

Oregon progressives cheered the victory of Andrea Salinas, who also faced a crush of big money in her race for a newly created congressional seat. Meanwhile, seven-term Oregon congressman Kurt Schrader, whose conservative politics drew the left’s ire, appears to be on the verge of losing his seat to progressive challenger Jamie McLeod-Skinner, though results have been delayed by a ballot-printing issue.

And in what will be one of the cycle’s most competitive Senate races, John Fetterman, Pennsylvania’s iconoclastic, liberal lieutenant governor, beat congressman Conor Lamb, a rising star of the center-left.

The next test of progressive political power comes Tuesday, in a Texas runoff election between congressman Henry Cueller, a conservative Democrat backed by party leadership, and Jessica Cisneros, a progressive immigration lawyer endorsed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders. And after that, there are competitive intra-party primaries in Illinois, New York and Michigan.

“We’re not doing any victory laps,” Mitchell said. “If anything, those losses and the wins have redoubled our commitment and focus.”

Moderates see the cycle very differently.

They point to a trio of House races last week in North Carolina and Kentucky where the more moderate candidate won handily. Those victories came just two weeks after Democratic congresswoman Shontel Brown won a fiercely contested re-match in Ohio against Nina Turner, a progressive activist who worked on Sanders’ presidential campaigns.

“People who are far outside the mainstream of the Democratic conference make it harder for moderates to run in swing districts because their ideas and their rhetoric are used against people like Abigail Spanberger,” said Matt Bennett, a co-founder of the center-left thinktank Third Way, referring to the Virginia congresswoman who singled out progressives for costing the party seats in 2020.

Bennett said it was important to distinguish between progressives. He argued that candidates who are “liberal but not radical”, such as McLeod-Skinner in Oregon, pose little risk to swing-state Democrats.

Instead, “we are worried about the Squad”, Bennett said, referencing the group of progressive congresswomen that includes Ocasio-Cortez, “because the people in that wing of the party do not regard it as part of their duty as Democrats to help ensure that we have majorities”.

That argument angers progressives. Following Sanders’ lead, they united behind Biden to oust Donald Trump in 2020 and then spent the past year-and-a-half working with congressional leaders and the White House to pass the president’s economic agenda. And yet progressives are the ones being pummeled by outside spending.

A number of contentious Democratic contests have been shaped by Super Pacs, like the one formed by American Israel Public Affairs Committee, known as Aipac, another supported by LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, and another backed by a crypto-billionaire.

Much – though not all – of the outside money supports moderate candidates, including Cuellar, the nine-term incumbent in the fight of his political life.

“This is a David-and-Goliath sort of battle,” Mitchell said.

In a sign of the building resentment between the party’s two ideological factions, Jeff Weaver, Sanders’ former campaign manager, warned that progressives could launch third-party candidates in swing districts to scuttle centrist Democrats’ chances.

The suggestion infuriated Bennett, who called it the “most irresponsible thing I’ve seen a Democrat say … maybe ever, and particularly in the face of a Republican party that has lost its ever-loving mind.”

Not every primary, however, falls neatly along ideological lines.

Oregon’s Schrader angered Democrats in the state after his vote against a provision aiming to allow Medicare to negotiate the price of prescription drugs. Local Democratic leaders voted to endorse his challenger, McLeod-Skinner, sharply breaking with tradition.

Pundits think the Texas runoff will prove to be a bellwether of the Democratic mood in a political landscape that increasingly favors Republicans. Democrats have razor-thin majorities in Congress, and the party in power historically loses in the president’s first midterm election.

Democrats are also struggling to outrun Biden’s low approval ratings, weighed down by inflation and widespread frustration with Washington.

Since Cisneros forced Cuellar into a runoff earlier this year, the race has been reshaped by a draft supreme court opinion indicating the justices are prepared to overturn a constitutional right to an abortion.

Cuellar is one of the only Democrats left in Congress who is against abortion. Cisneros, by contrast, has cast herself as a defender of reproductive rights in a state that has effectively banned abortion.

They have also clashed on immigration. Whereas Cuellar staunchly criticizes the Biden administration’s immigration policies, appearing frequently on Fox News to air his grievances with the president’s handling of the border, Cisneros has advocated for a more progressive stance in that sector.

No matter what happens Tuesday in Texas, progressives believe they have made progress elevating candidates they are confident will mobilize the party’s base in November.

Kentucky Democrats nominated Charles Booker, an unabashedly progressive ex-state lawmaker who easily won his Senate primary two years after surprising the party establishment by nearly defeating its chosen candidate.

Booker faces daunting odds by now challenging entrenched Republican senator Rand Paul. But Booker believes his primary victory is a sign that voters are hungry for new leadership.

Were he to beat Paul, he’d be the state’s first Black senator.

“The truth of the matter is, the people of Kentucky want real progress,” Booker said. “It’s just that no one listens to us.

“The policies that I lift up, the issues that I fight for, they’re not radical and they don’t come from some national consultant. This comes from my lived experience of living the struggle that most Kentuckians know well.”

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