2022 House Election Polling Average

In the polling average, more weight is given to polls:
1. With larger sample sizes
2. That are more recent
3. From pollsters with a good track record.
Corrections are made for pollsters’ historic bias.

RacetotheWH launched in 2020 and correctly anticipated that Democrats would win both the Senate and White House as early as May, and that Biden would narrowly win Arizona and Georgia as early as June. On average, it was closer to the final result than the traditional gold standard, Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.

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