The statistician said he wouldn’t have polls of each state for “a few months.”
8. It’s usually not worth it to diagnose why an individual poll deviates from the consensus. Think ‘macro’ not micro—look for robust trends.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) May 10, 2016
He also warned his followers to check whether pollsters interview likely voters or registered voters.
“The election will go through a lot of twists and turns, and polls are noisy. Don’t sweat individual polls or short-term fluctuations,” Silver tweeted.
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