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Narrow Bond Spreads Signal Market Confidence in Profit Margins, DataTrek Says

Narrow Bond Spreads Signal Market Confidence in Profit Margins, DataTrek Says
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Corporate bond spreads lower than those seen during past periods of economic stress reflect investors’ confidence in the resilience of companies’ profit margins—even during a recession, DataTrek analysts wrote.

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That spread is contracting, according to DataTrek, an indication that investors are more confident that cash flows will be sufficient to pay them their coupons and principal in a timely fashion. If they were widening, the note said, that would suggest investors are increasingly worried about an upcoming recession.

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