Corporate bond spreads lower than those seen during past periods of economic stress reflect investors’ confidence in the resilience of companies’ profit margins—even during a recession, DataTrek analysts wrote.
That spread is contracting, according to DataTrek, an indication that investors are more confident that cash flows will be sufficient to pay them their coupons and principal in a timely fashion. If they were widening, the note said, that would suggest investors are increasingly worried about an upcoming recession.
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